Satish B Agnihotri, Head CTARA IIT Bombay and Board Member, CFNS, April 14, 2020
Covid-19 cases made an early appearance in Kerala. The State was quick to contain these and was acknowledged for its efforts. However, this was a short-lived satisfaction with the numbers starting to spike from about 21st March. This is an excellent analysis on Kerala using the time series data from 10th March to April-11 using three separate indicators and all point out in the same direction that the tide has hopefully turned around end March in Kerala. Hope the trend continues and there is no episodal spike.
More important, this method can be of use for other states and certain urban hot-spots.